BTC-USD, continuously

A living research project: findings update as new evidence arrives and passes review.

Last updated 2026-08-23

Edition btcusd-2026-07-28

2026-07-29 — Awaiting the author's review

What this changes

  • Prior claim — "BTC has transitioned from a stabilization phase into a nascent uptrend. As of the btcusd-2026-07-26 edition, BTC-USD closed at $65,338.880.17% above its trailing 7-day average ($65,228.23) — with the 7-day average now rising, indicating a shift in momentum." (Status: supported)
  • What changed — As of the btcusd-2026-07-28 edition, BTC-USD closed at $63,850.531.21% below its trailing 7-day average ($64,630.66) — with the 7-day average now falling.
  • Assessmentoverturned. The reversal of the short-term trend (falling MA7) and the price falling below the 7-day moving average suggest the nascent uptrend identified previously has been invalidated.
  • Revised claim — BTC has returned to a consolidation phase. As of the btcusd-2026-07-28 edition, BTC-USD closed at $63,850.531.21% below its trailing 7-day average ($64,630.66) — with the 7-day average now falling, indicating a cooling in momentum.

Evidence record

Source
https://www.bitstamp.net/api/v2/ohlc/btcusd/?step=86400&limit=20
Retrieved
2026-07-29
Hash
sha256:369cc5bf431e454c80a46bd30fb0dd585c0712ae6e68c8ee81089fd717ab0808

Updates become part of the findings only after the author's review.

View the underlying proposal on GitHub