BTC-USD, continuously

A living research project: findings update as new evidence arrives and passes review.

Last updated 2026-08-23

Edition btcusd-2026-07-29

2026-07-30 — Awaiting the author's review

What this changes

  • Prior claim — BTC has transitioned from a stabilization phase into a nascent uptrend. As of the btcusd-2026-07-26 edition, BTC-USD closed at $65,338.880.17% above its trailing 7-day average ($65,228.23) — with the 7-day average now rising, indicating a shift in momentum. (status: supported)
  • What changed — As of btcusd-2026-07-29, BTC-USD closed at $63,894.39, which is 0.66% below its trailing 7-day average of $64,318.07. The 7-day average trend has transitioned from rising to falling.
  • Assessmentweakened. The previous claim of an uptrend is invalidated by the recent decline in the closing price relative to the 7-day moving average and the shift in the moving average trend from rising to falling.
  • Revised claim — BTC is currently experiencing a period of renewed downward pressure. As of the btcusd-2026-07-29 edition, BTC-USD closed at $63,894.390.66% below its trailing 7-day average ($64,318.07) — with the 7-day average now falling, suggesting a continuation of the recent volatility.

Evidence record

Source
https://www.bitstamp.net/api/v2/ohlc/btcusd/?step=86400&limit=20
Retrieved
2026-07-30
Hash
sha256:eee0b8d8ba1dcf5c778910b778a3fc6a7be6034f085943b00cb70e916d2b3d5b

Updates become part of the findings only after the author's review.

View the underlying proposal on GitHub