BTC-USD, continuously

A living research project: findings update as new evidence arrives and passes review.

Last updated 2026-08-23

Edition btcusd-2026-08-01

2026-08-02 — Awaiting the author's review

What this changes

  • Prior claim — "BTC has transitioned from a stabilization phase into a nascent uptrend. As of the btcusd-2026-07-26 edition, BTC-USD closed at $65,338.880.17% above its trailing 7-day average ($65,228.23) — with the 7-day average now rising, indicating a shift in momentum." (status: supported)
  • What changed — In the btcusd-2026-08-01 edition, the BTC-USD price closed at $62,759.82, which is 1.74% below its trailing 7-day average of $63,868.01. The 7-day moving average is now falling.
  • Assessmentweakened. The previous assessment of a nascent uptrend is invalidated by the decline in price relative to the 7-day moving average and the reversal of the moving average's trend.
  • Revised claim — BTC-USD has struggled to maintain its momentum and has reverted from its short-term uptrend. As of the btcusd-2026-08-01 edition, BTC-USD closed at $62,759.821.74% below its trailing 7-day average ($63,868.01) — with the 7-day average now falling, signaling a potential return to a weaker trend phase.

Evidence record

Source
https://www.bitstamp.net/api/v2/ohlc/btcusd/?step=86400&limit=20
Retrieved
2026-08-02
Hash
sha256:a56ded45405396eb6c058b495055bc7f1968f3320d0aa153bc484e4fa29bbf3b

Updates become part of the findings only after the author's review.

View the underlying proposal on GitHub