BTC-USD, continuously

A living research project: findings update as new evidence arrives and passes review.

Last updated 2026-08-23

Edition btcusd-2026-08-02

2026-08-03 — Awaiting the author's review

What this changes

Impact of btcusd-2026-08-02 on btc-short-term-trend

Prior claim BTC has transitioned from a stabilization phase into a nascent uptrend. As of the btcusd-2026-07-26 edition, BTC-USD closed at $65,338.880.17% above its trailing 7-day average ($65,228.23) — with the 7-day average now rising, indicating a shift in momentum. (Status: supported)

What changed In the latest edition (btcusd-2026-08-02), BTC-USD closed at $63,499.990.17% below its trailing 7-day average ($63,605.31) — and the 7-day average is now falling.

Assessment Weakened. The previous observation of an uptrend has been challenged as price action has retraced, falling below the 7-day moving average, which itself has returned to a declining trend.

Revised claim BTC has shown a cooling of its previous uptrend. As of the btcusd-2026-08-02 edition, BTC-USD closed at $63,499.990.17% below its trailing 7-day average ($63,605.31) — with the 7-day average now falling, reflecting a shift in short-term momentum.

Evidence record

Source
https://www.bitstamp.net/api/v2/ohlc/btcusd/?step=86400&limit=20
Retrieved
2026-08-03
Hash
sha256:a3c25489fe22f611c1935c8ce249fa655da8a67bd1c68610d6b00288440d26b1

Updates become part of the findings only after the author's review.

View the underlying proposal on GitHub