BTC-USD, continuously

A living research project: findings update as new evidence arrives and passes review.

Last updated 2026-08-23

Edition btcusd-2026-08-10

2026-08-11 — Awaiting the author's review

What this changes

Impact declaration — btcusd-2026-08-10

  • Prior claim — "BTC has transitioned from a stabilization phase into a nascent uptrend. As of the btcusd-2026-07-26 edition, BTC-USD closed at $65,338.880.17% above its trailing 7-day average ($65,228.23) — with the 7-day average now rising, indicating a shift in momentum." (Status: supported)
  • What changed — As of the btcusd-2026-08-10 edition, BTC-USD closed at $63,911.160.91% below its trailing 7-day average ($64,495.31). While the 7-day average itself remains rising ($64,495.31 vs. $64,430.86), the price has dipped below the average.
  • Assessmentweakened. The move below the 7-day moving average interrupts the nascent uptrend identified in the previous claim, although the moving average itself is still trending upward.
  • Revised claim — BTC is experiencing a consolidation phase following a brief uptrend. As of the btcusd-2026-08-10 edition, BTC-USD closed at $63,911.160.91% below its trailing 7-day average ($64,495.31) — though the 7-day average remains rising, indicating underlying trend resilience despite recent price weakness.

Evidence record

Source
https://www.bitstamp.net/api/v2/ohlc/btcusd/?step=86400&limit=20
Retrieved
2026-08-11
Hash
sha256:59c70eb4ae0cf27cbe639eaefae7b875d324a8bed05327c9171e51bafa70d4b5

Updates become part of the findings only after the author's review.

View the underlying proposal on GitHub