BTC-USD, continuously

A living research project: findings update as new evidence arrives and passes review.

Last updated 2026-08-23

Edition btcusd-2026-08-14

2026-08-15 — Awaiting the author's review

What this changes

Impact Declaration: btcusd-2026-08-14

Prior claim

"BTC has transitioned from a stabilization phase into a nascent uptrend. As of the btcusd-2026-07-26 edition, BTC-USD closed at $65,338.880.17% above its trailing 7-day average ($65,228.23) — with the 7-day average now rising, indicating a shift in momentum."

Status: supported

What changed

As of the btcusd-2026-08-14 edition, BTC-USD closed at $62,975.971.38% below its trailing 7-day average ($63,860.04) — with the 7-day average now falling.

Assessment

Overturned. The previously identified nascent uptrend has reversed, with BTC closing below its 7-day moving average and the moving average itself trending downwards.

Revised claim

BTC has transitioned out of its previous uptrend into a period of downward pressure. As of the btcusd-2026-08-14 edition, BTC-USD closed at $62,975.971.38% below its trailing 7-day average ($63,860.04) — with the 7-day average now falling, indicating a shift in momentum.

Evidence record

Source
https://www.bitstamp.net/api/v2/ohlc/btcusd/?step=86400&limit=20
Retrieved
2026-08-15
Hash
sha256:a25db723728c20b53d26aeabf2b27497864880d292ec9d0d15520f2bc90c365b

Updates become part of the findings only after the author's review.

View the underlying proposal on GitHub