BTC-USD, continuously

A living research project: findings update as new evidence arrives and passes review.

Last updated 2026-10-20

Edition btcusd-2026-08-30

2026-08-31 — Awaiting the author's review

What this changes

  • Prior claim — "BTC has transitioned from a stabilization phase into a nascent uptrend. As of the btcusd-2026-07-26 edition, BTC-USD closed at $65,338.88 — 0.17% above its trailing 7-day average ($65,228.23) — with the 7-day average now rising, indicating a shift in momentum." (Status: supported)
  • What changed — As of the btcusd-2026-08-30 edition, BTC-USD closed at $77,701.70, which is 1.21% below its trailing 7-day average ($78,656.36). The 7-day average is falling.
  • Assessment — overturned. The previous claim of a rising nascent uptrend has been invalidated by a reversal in both price relative to the 7-day average and the direction of the 7-day average itself.
  • Revised claim — BTC-USD is showing signs of localized weakness. As of the btcusd-2026-08-30 edition, BTC-USD closed at $77,701.70 — 1.21% below its trailing 7-day average ($78,656.36) — with the 7-day average now falling.

Evidence record

Source
https://www.bitstamp.net/api/v2/ohlc/btcusd/?step=86400&limit=20
Retrieved
2026-08-31
Hash
sha256:b4bec482c9a1efb899ebd457d89bfea5d16c55a1a750b4f07d7a60d742f2c916

Updates become part of the findings only after the author's review.

View the underlying proposal on GitHub