BTC-USD, continuously

A living research project: findings update as new evidence arrives and passes review.

Last updated 2026-10-20

Edition btcusd-2026-08-31

2026-09-01 — Awaiting the author's review

What this changes

  • Prior claim — BTC has transitioned from a stabilization phase into a nascent uptrend. As of the btcusd-2026-07-26 edition, BTC-USD closed at $65,338.88 — 0.17% above its trailing 7-day average ($65,228.23) — with the 7-day average now rising, indicating a shift in momentum. (Status: supported)
  • What changed — In the btcusd-2026-08-31 edition, BTC-USD closed at $78,571.17 — 0.03% below its trailing 7-day average ($78,597.09) — and the 7-day average is now falling.
  • Assessment — weakened. While the price has increased in absolute terms, the relationship to the 7-day moving average has inverted and the momentum indicator (MA trend) has shifted from rising to falling.
  • Revised claim — BTC is currently undergoing a period of localized volatility. As of the btcusd-2026-08-31 edition, BTC-USD closed at $78,571.17 — 0.03% below its trailing 7-day average ($78,597.09) — with the 7-day average now falling, indicating a pause in recent upward momentum.

Evidence record

Source
https://www.bitstamp.net/api/v2/ohlc/btcusd/?step=86400&limit=20
Retrieved
2026-09-01
Hash
sha256:4b761a7ff550d825454d30329ef21046cf9903d1a4b22b33faf02ced7ef12542

Updates become part of the findings only after the author's review.

View the underlying proposal on GitHub