BTC-USD, continuously

A living research project: findings update as new evidence arrives and passes review.

Last updated 2026-10-20

Edition btcusd-2026-09-01

2026-09-02 — Awaiting the author's review

What this changes

Impact Declaration — btcusd-2026-09-01

  • Prior claim — BTC has transitioned from a stabilization phase into a nascent uptrend. As of the btcusd-2026-07-26 edition, BTC-USD closed at $65,338.88 — 0.17% above its trailing 7-day average ($65,228.23) — with the 7-day average now rising, indicating a shift in momentum. (status: supported)

  • What changed — As of the btcusd-2026-09-01 edition, BTC-USD closed at $77,397.43, which is 1.32% below its trailing 7-day average of $78,434.59. Furthermore, the 7-day moving average is now falling, contrasting with the rising trend observed previously.

  • Assessment — overturned. The positive price momentum and rising 7-day average have reversed; the price has fallen below the 7-day average, and the average itself is now in a falling trend.

  • Revised claim — BTC has lost its upward momentum and is experiencing a downward trend. As of the btcusd-2026-09-01 edition, BTC-USD closed at $77,397.43 — 1.32% below its trailing 7-day average ($78,434.59) — with the 7-day average now falling, indicating a shift in momentum away from the uptrend.

Evidence record

Source
https://www.bitstamp.net/api/v2/ohlc/btcusd/?step=86400&limit=20
Retrieved
2026-09-02
Hash
sha256:b8f7e2a6e4ecd7a79ba5fd16aa322e010ad97123813b492b31a7bc394520b3a1

Updates become part of the findings only after the author's review.

View the underlying proposal on GitHub